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Greg Sargent2009-02-10
@ThePlumLineGS1,898 days
A blog about politics, politics, and politics
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67,5382,10754,5843,06114
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour Roundup, via @paulwaldman1: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @brianbeutler: Helps explain Landrieu's bravado, cc @ThePlumLineGS washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… pic.twitter.com/Gq9UuN56Hz
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Real disaster for AFP isn't CO photo. It's opposiiton to repeal in red states, after $35 million spent on Ocare ads.
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
It will be very hard for folks to avoid talking about the problems w/the GOP Obamacare stance after this nytimes.com/2014/04/24/hea…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
NYT poll: In KY, 53% say Kentucky Kynect (which @Team_Mitch) would repeal) working well: nytimes.com/2014/04/24/hea…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
NYT poll: Ocare disapproval high, but more *oppose* than support repeal, even in southern red states: nytimes.com/2014/04/24/hea…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
On economic & safety net issues, a rift between Tea Party Rs and non-Tea Party Rs who side w/Ds, indys: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
As support for repeal drops MT @psteinhauserCNN AFP ads by the numbers: $35 million spent in 2014 cycle to run ads
cnn.it/1ifXnVZ
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Follow @EliStokols for developing controversy on latest @AFPhq ad in Colorado
3h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Not anticipating he'll listen, but @jbplainblog tries to talk sense to Bill Kristol on NYT poll: bloombergview.com/articles/2014-…
3h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Trend: Dems increasingly using *economic* and *safety net* issues as wedges against Rs: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Tea Party economics: A long term loser for the GOP: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… cc @ed_kilgore @jonathanchait @DouthatNYT
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@tnapoles no prob! also the Crossroads ad in NC calls for repeal I think
4h in reply to tnapoles               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@tnapoles right -- outside of primaries
5h in reply to tnapoles               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Serious Q: How many GOP or AFP ads (outside of GOP primaries) call for repeal of Obamacare?
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
#CommieNation RT @ryanlcooper: Everyone #FF @paulwaldman1, @ThePlumLineGS's new house commie
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Couranto #SKEWED!!!!!
5h in reply to Couranto               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
!!!!! RT @AaronBlakeWP: Rand Paul: GOP might be over-selling voter fraud wapo.st/1hjJuEI
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Not if we quote polling averages RT @samsteinhp: Are we honestly gonna have 7 months of poll methodology arguments? #shootme
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
What a toss up cycle really means: Rs will probably win 5-7 Senate seats. Or they may win as many as 10 or as few as 2-3. #punditry
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
"Cons want you to believe Ds are running from Ocare, despite mountains of evidence it's just not true" newrepublic.com/article/117487…
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Dylan Scott @dylanlscott
And @ThePlumLineGS is done for the day RT @DRUDGE_REPORT: Sargent: Surprise! Dems aren't dead yet... drudge.tw/1k6Hobr
7h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Nice @paulwaldman1 piece on why pot legalization issue is only going to get bigger and bigger: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Lighting $$$ on fire MT @stevebenen Truly remarkable: a Koch group is attacking Ocare for not being liberal enough on.msnbc.com/1mDTI6m
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Reminder: Multiple GOP Senate candidates running from repeal or pulling "homina homina homina" on Medicaid expansion.
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sfpelosi @sfpelosi
#ACA is here to stay MT @ThePlumLineGS: Pro-Ocare Gov Beshear at 56-36; anti-Medicaid expansion Gov Jindal at 40-54: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
7h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@tripgabriel yep. And Jindal approval in the toilet. Note that Landrieu is now calling it the "Jindal Gap"
7h in reply to tripgabriel               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@tripgabriel Mary Landrieu, too: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
7h in reply to tripgabriel               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Nate_Cohn Oh, I know. I made the point about the intensity problem in the NYT poll this AM washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
8h in reply to Nate_Cohn               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Nate_Cohn Dems have widely acknowledged the looming 2014 turnout problem
8h in reply to Nate_Cohn               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Watch as Rs and cons treat a US Chamber-sponsored poll as gospel while claiming NYT poll is skewed.
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Landrieu on Ocare: "A solid law that needs improvement. My opponent offers nothing but repeal, repeal, repeal" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @kakukowski: .@nytimes published a poll taken from people they found outside the DSCC who confidently predicted they'd keep the Senate
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@philipaklein If you're looking for Dems aggressively defending Obamacare, here's another: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
8h in reply to philipaklein               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@samsteinhp Same from Mary Landrieu: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
8h in reply to samsteinhp               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
It's totally legit to question NYT poll. But instead of "skewed sample," better argument is: "Stick to polling averages."
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DouthatNYT Still grounds to think they will win a lot of Senate races this cycle, though
8h in reply to DouthatNYT               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Alex_Roarty @AaronBlakeWP Rs don't want the narrative to be "all these races are tossups." They want it to be "Ds running for their lives"
9h in reply to Alex_Roarty               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
After Rs mocked Silver for months RT @Alex_Roarty RNC slams NYT Senate poll, calls the Times "desperate after losing Nate Silver."
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@AFPhq continues lighting millions of $$$ on fire with new anti-Ocare ads that are not moving needle one iota.
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memeorandum @memeorandum
Landrieu: I'll put GOP foe on defensive on health care (@ThePlumLineGS / Washington Post) washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… memeorandum.com/140423/p16#a14…
10h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Great catch by @NBCFirstRead crew: Anti-Medicaid exp Jindal's approval in LA lower than Obama's: nbcnews.com/politics/first…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Morning Plum: Conventional wisdom about 2014 takes another big hit: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
POLL: Pro-Ocare Gov Beshear approval at 56-36; anti-Medicaid expansion Gov Jindal at 40-54: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Fascinating tidbit: Grimes voters as likely to vote as McConnell's: nytimes.com/2014/04/24/ups… KY race different from others.
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @DannyVinik: This this this from @NormOrnstein on the most enduring myth of the Obama presidency nationaljournal.com/washington-ins…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Exactly what Reid wants RT @AP_Politics: Senate races nationwide pit Harry Reid against billionaire Koch brothers apne.ws/1gQNTLG
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Rick Klein @rickklein
Dems not hating as much MT @ThePlumLineGS: Landrieu on Ocare: "solid law needs improvement. opponent offers nothing" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
11h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Landrieu on Ocare: "A solid law that needs improvement. My opponent offers nothing but repeal, repeal, repeal" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ron_fournier @NormOrnstein Will grant you this: you have constructed an impenetrable force-field around your argument :)
11h in reply to ron_fournier               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@kirstinalv Landrieu on offense on Ocare now: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
11h in reply to kirstinalv               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ron_fournier @NormOrnstein it was in this really awesome publication called National Journal nationaljournal.com/washington-ins… ;)
11h in reply to ron_fournier               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@HotlineJosh would love to see breakdown of evangelicals, to test Ds' theory of the race
11h in reply to HotlineJosh               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
He predicted it. Hence gov shutdown. RT @politico: .@SenTedCruz's worst nightmare coming true: Ocare is working. politi.co/1jzReiQ
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ron_fournier, I'm hoping you're respond to new White Flag Caucus member @NormOrnstein :)
12h in reply to ron_fournier               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Counterintuitive but true: Here's Mary Landrieu vowing to campaign aggressively on Obamacare: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@kausmickey what did Perdue say?
12h in reply to kausmickey               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
The great @NormOrnstein takes a sledge-hammer to the #GreenLanternites: nationaljournal.com/washington-ins…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@conncarroll I'll grant you that. But "leave" as an opening line puts you at a pretty big disadvantage.
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour Roundup, via @paulwaldman1: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Asked em out in 2012, got drink thrown in face MT @conncarroll: Didnt know they were dating | Rs break up w/Hispanics thehill.com/blogs/pundits-…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
As health care signups hit 413,000 in Kentucky, @Team_Mitch continues to vow to repeal @kynectky centredaily.com/2014/04/22/414…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Yes. #Obummercare RT @Taniel: Does GOP have anything to counter this and vindicate their talk that ORSen could flip? images.politico.com/global/2014/04…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
As @Alex_Roarty says, multiple Senate races will be all about women's health and personhood nationaljournal.com/hotline-on-cal…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite I hear that. I assume they want the races to be un-nationalized...
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite I get your point. But she has really been doing stuff on Medicaid expansion. See first grafs here washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite I just don't buy it. It's an artificial beltway BS narrative. Keep and fix is reasonable.
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite @KyleGautreau @SenLandrieu my point is, not running ads does not equal running away from the law. make sense?
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite @KyleGautreau @SenLandrieu some are running ads; others are campaigning on Medic expansion.
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite @KyleGautreau @SenLandrieu because I'm arguing for a *nuanced* look at what's happening. Ds doing all kinds of things (1/2)
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite @KyleGautreau @SenLandrieu eh, I don't think the "are they running ads on Ocare" is a useful standard...
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Nice @EspuelasVox piece: "Republicans break up with Hispanics...it's over...have a nice life" thehill.com/blogs/pundits-…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Syria = the new Katrina RT @YeaYouRite Only 90% of Syria's chemical weapons have been destroyed so far mobile.nytimes.com/2014/04/23/wor…
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YeaYouRite @YeaYouRite
I may have been giving Landrieu a lot of shit, but credit where credit is due. She's defending ObamaCare: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
1d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael yep
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael I've asked for nuance: 1) we don't know how it will work long term; 2) politics of Ocare more complex than Rs admit
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael Sure. They have at least a 50-50 chance of winning Senate. But I'd say Rs are misreading politics of Obamacare.
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael remember, Ds have to simply limit their *losses* to five seats...
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael look, all of these races are toss ups. either side could win most of them.
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael gotcha. I'm concerned with this BS media narrative that Ds are uniformly running away from Ocare.
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@joanmccarter thanks much
1d in reply to joanmccarter               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @joanmccarter: Landrieu on Obamacare: 'The benefits that people have received are worth fighting for' dailykos.com/story/2014/04/…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael Hah, thanks for your honesty. Not sure what your implication is, but I'm not predicting anything in particular
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael Like I said, I find your ability to maintain certainty in spite of recent events to be pretty impressive
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ellencarmichael I actually find your ability to maintain certainty impressive, given recent events. Seriously
1d in reply to ellencarmichael               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@derek_maclean maybe
1d in reply to derek_maclean               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@SenLandrieu: On Ocare, opponent Bill Cassidy "is going to be at a distinct disadvantage" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
yes RT @admiralmpj: @ThePlumLineGS I'm sorry. That was @MaryLandrieu the Senator, right? We've confirmed this?? ;)
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@joanwalsh FYI, exactly as you wanted: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
1d in reply to joanwalsh               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@MaryLandrieu: Ocare benefits "are worth fighting for...opponent offers nothing but repeal, repeal, repeal" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
In interview, @MaryLandrieu vows to hit foe hard on Medicaid exp, says he'll be at "disadvantage" on Ocare: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Dan Smith @dws3665
@ThePlumLineGS This is unpossible.The nice folks on Fox News said today that Obamacare has been a disaster.
1d in reply to ThePlumLineGSRetweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@abaumania Yeah. I'm skeptical it will, actually
1d in reply to abaumania               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ForecasterEnten @ElectProject @YeaYouRite how about this -- most aggressive pro-Obamacare ad of cycle by far washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
1d in reply to ForecasterEnten               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @GovSteveBeshear: 413,410 Kentuckians have enrolled in health care coverage through #kynect. Numbers don’t lie, @kynectky is a success
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@YeaYouRite @ForecasterEnten @ElectProject Harry, how about a piece on the unpopularity of the GOP position on Obamacare?
1d in reply to YeaYouRite               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Obama at 46% in Gallup for first time since last summer: gallup.com/poll/113980/Ga… However, average lower: elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Excellent @Nate_Cohn piece on why red state D incumbents have real shot at hanging on: nytimes.com/2014/04/23/ups…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
In Michigan, Terri Land's first ad is defensive, and says nothing about Obamacare: youtube.com/watch?v=dc_AAj…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @jpodhoretz: @ThePlumLineGS @davidharsanyi oh dry up
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