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ImageNameLocationTwitter sinceLinks
Greg Sargent2009-02-10
@ThePlumLineGS2,083 days
A blog about politics, politics, and politics
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73,2482,46666,9243,220293
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Good piece on why @MichelleNunnGA really could win in #gasen, from @Nate_Cohn: nytimes.com/2014/10/25/ups…
12m               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour! washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… with @samsteinhp @brianbeutler @sahilkapur @fstonenyt @jonathanchait @JohnCassidy @PostPolls
17h               
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Eric Boehlert @EricBoehlert
here's when Mitch wouldnt answer gay marriage/climate Q's; bit.ly/1s9KP54 RT @ThePlumLineGS disqualifying newrepublic.com/article/119981…
17h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Hoosier114 I write a blog called the Plum Line
17h in reply to Hoosier114               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Thought: Our twitter fights will impact Senate race outcomes as much as those two dogs barking at each other on my street will.
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @JohnCassidy: Scott Brown and the Democrats’ Obama problem nyr.kr/10rFs8D
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@JillDLawrence @brianbeutler alas, there is no way to get folks to focus on what Rs are *actually saying* about Ocare on campaign trail
17h in reply to JillDLawrence               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@JillDLawrence @brianbeutler Heh. You just wait until GOP takes Senate. Deafening roar of "GOP has big anti-Obamacare mandate"
17h in reply to JillDLawrence               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@JillDLawrence @brianbeutler Yep. Since we're sharing... washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
17h in reply to JillDLawrence               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Timodc @brianbeutler Hah, Tim, you are a regular Cool Hand Luke
17h in reply to Timodc               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@philipaklein @brianbeutler I wasn't the one who first floated the comparison. Follow the chain back.
17h in reply to philipaklein               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Timodc @brianbeutler for someone who is headed for a Certain and Glorious Victory, you seem a bit on edge
17h in reply to Timodc               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Timodc @brianbeutler maybe you can point us to a major national Sunday show host who described that as "disqualifying" for Ernst
17h in reply to Timodc               
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Brian Beutler @brianbeutler
newrepublic.com/article/119968… MT @ThePlumLineGS Blocking Medicaid expansion was crucial to NC’s "conservative revolution" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
18h in reply to ThePlumLineGSRetweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@baseballcrank @Nate_Cohn not widely appreciated how important goal of limiting size of any GOP majority is (long a key Dem goal)
18h in reply to baseballcrank               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@baseballcrank Agree. If Rs have 52 seats Ds will have accomplished goal No 2, limiting size of maj (not goal No 1, keeping Senate)
18h in reply to baseballcrank               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@baseballcrank #DefiningWavesDown
18h in reply to baseballcrank               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@aawayne Heh. In all seriousness I think GOP favored to take Senate, just not 100% sure that's what's gonna happen
18h in reply to aawayne               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@aawayne I'm so old that I can remember when 8% unemployment guaranteed two terms of Mitt Romney.
18h in reply to aawayne               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@bterris hah, I think Michelin voice is a touch more gravelly
18h in reply to bterris               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Here we go. Here's the new @MajorityPAC ad hitting Mitch McConnell in #kysen:
youtube.com/watch?v=Sba-0Y…
18h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @joesonka In this new RPK mailer, I can't tell if Grimes sees Obama in a mirror or if she's admiring a painting: pic.twitter.com/cvhRqYVH4H
18h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@mkolken @FiveThirtyEight I'd say GOP favored to take Senate, but I would not be *that* shocked if Ds held on somehow
18h in reply to mkolken               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
disqualifying newrepublic.com/article/119981…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@schirdotax Right, too early. But Nunn plainly has a shot.
19h in reply to schirdotax               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@yardsbkc Okay, you revel in your certainty; I'll continue to believe the future is uncertain. Take care
19h in reply to yardsbkc               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@EvanMcSan who, me?
19h in reply to EvanMcSan               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
sorry, too fun for me RT @EvanMcSan: if you think tracker was excited to capture this Perdue footage, you are right buzzfeed.com/evanmcsan/davi…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@schirdotax right. But CNN poll has her up 51-47 in runoff (too early to say what electorate will be like, of course)
19h in reply to schirdotax               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@yardsbkc I think Rs are favored to take Senate, but it could still go either way
19h in reply to yardsbkc               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@rprez2012 This does: realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/se…
19h in reply to rprez2012               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Also, the @RCP_Articles polling average now has Michelle Nunn ahead, too: realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/se…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@joesonka And @RCP_Articles average now has her up: realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/se…
19h in reply to joesonka               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Interesting. @FiveThirtyEight now gives Michelle Nunn a narrow edge in #gasen. fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/s…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Nice piece by @JohnCassidy on Scott Brown's Ebola shenanigans and why he might be able to get away with them: newyorker.com/news/john-cass…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Great work by @PostPolls. Interactive graphic that lets you examine Ds' midterm voter problem in minute detail: washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special…
19h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@armandodkos I think premature to write Braley off.
20h in reply to armandodkos               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@armandodkos Big Dog pushing early vote three days out is a good thing for Braley.
20h in reply to armandodkos               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Gettin' interesting. Bill Clinton heading to Iowa for Bruce Braley, just three days before election day: desmoinesregister.com/story/news/ele…
20h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
New poll commissioned by @MajorityPAC finds Alaska Sen tied, 44-44: senatemajority.com/wpress/wp-cont…
20h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 it's only with today's post-policy GOP that the standard practice of revising major legislative reform has become noteworthy
20h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 that's a fairly standard thing to do when it comes to major, sweeping legislative reform
21h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Via @paulwaldman1, how Rand Paul is cleverly playing GOP base and media in advance of 2016: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
21h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@jonathanchait trying to make friends again? :)
21h in reply to jonathanchait               
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Ron Fournier @ron_fournier
Dems seeking political balance on #Ebola. Nice summary here by @ThePlumLineGS washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
22h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 In other words, if you have to say "sure I support all of Ocare's goals," but have no alternative, there's no anti-Ocare mandate
22h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 Right, but the fact that they have to say that in order to win is why they don't have an anti-Ocare mandate. Get it?
22h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Taniel s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1345…
22h in reply to Taniel               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 At this point, Rs are basically saying, "Obamacare is evil, but I support all its general goals"
22h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 the point is, the politics of Ocare are complex; Rs have basically ceded the underlying ideological argument.
22h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Taniel look at the numbers among RVs. She leads by 10 in runoff.
22h in reply to Taniel               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@madlaw1071 If Rs have an anti-Ocare mandate, why are they running away from repeal as fast as they can?
22h in reply to madlaw1071               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
As @ed_kilgore notes, even if GOP wins Senate, there will be no meaningful anti-Ocare mandate: washingtonmonthly.com/political-anim…
22h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
---> MT @Taniel: Fifth consecutive poll finds Nunn leading #GASen: Up 47-44-4 in CNN. She'd need just over half of undecided to reach 50%
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Thanks! RT @PaulBegala: Smart take on the politics of Ebola from @ThePlumLineGS washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
When Thom Tillis flipped on Medicaid exp, he abandoned core "achievement" of Raleigh's conservative revolution washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
22h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Key, but forgotten: Blocking Medicaid expansion was crucial component of "conservative revolution" in NC washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
23h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@igorbobic Here's his GOP primary ad on the topic: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
23h in reply to igorbobic               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@digby56 @daveweigel Damn, that sucks. Did they change CO's election rules so we no longer have an election? :)
23h in reply to digby56               
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Sarah Valerio @Sarah_SV
Democrats strike careful balance on #Ebola washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… Smart read by @ThePlumLineGS on the political game both parties r playing
23h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Sarah_SV thanks!
23h in reply to Sarah_SV               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
In response to Scott Brown's Ebola nonsense, Jeanne Shaheen dares to suggest we "listen to experts": washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
The Dem game: Ebola allows Ds to get distance from Obama without alienating core D voters: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Scott Brown: "We don't need to be experts to deal with" Ebola. In Morning Roundup: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Kay Hagan criticizes Obama for being too slow on Ebola. Here's the game Dems are playing: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
1d               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @EricBoehlert when Dem Grimes dodged editorial board meeting Q = "disqualifying"; when GOP Ernst refused to show up =crickets
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Neoavatara Hey, I'll take uncertainty. All I hear on twitter is nonstop certainty of a GOP Senate takeover. :)
1d in reply to Neoavatara               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ForecasterEnten Yup. Thanks. In other words, none of us knows what the *eff* is happening here. :)
1d in reply to ForecasterEnten               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Polling gurus, what does it mean that Nunn is leading among registered voters by 10 points in a runoff? s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1345…
1d               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
CNN poll: Nunn leads Perdue by 18 points among women: s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1345…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@RamCNN got, thank you!
1d in reply to RamCNN               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Many thanks to @CNNPolitics for posting internals of new #gasen poll. Nunn up 53-43 among RVs in runoff: s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1345…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Chris Christie can't possibly be out of touch with working people, because he talks tough. nydailynews.com/news/politics/…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Q poll: Gardner leads among early voters, 49-37 quinnipiac.edu/news-and-event…
1d               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
New Quinnipiac poll: Gardner 46, Udall 41: quinnipiac.edu/news-and-event… Average has Gardner up 2.1 elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2014-…
1d               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@HotlineScott @mmurraypolitics @HotlineJosh To be clear, not saying electorate will favor Udall. Saying we don't know what it will look like
1d in reply to HotlineScott               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@HotlineScott @mmurraypolitics @HotlineJosh @stevandrews Yup. Great piece. Entire premise of Bannock is the *non 2010* voters
1d in reply to HotlineScott               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Alex_Roarty Yes. Also note runoff numbers (with appropriate caveats)
1d in reply to Alex_Roarty               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DanaHoule I think it will be released today
1d in reply to DanaHoule               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@mmurraypolitics @HotlineJosh @stevandrews Agree with Mark. Seems worth admitting we don't have any idea what electorate will look like
1d in reply to mmurraypolitics               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DanaHoule one was released Friday (today); the other was released Wednesday (according to the linked article)
1d in reply to DanaHoule               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DanaHoule That's an article about a different poll
1d in reply to DanaHoule               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@SalenaZitoTrib @HotlineJosh Sucking up will get you everywhere
1d in reply to SalenaZitoTrib               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DanaHoule Actually, no, you're looking at the wrong one: cnn.com/2014/10/24/pol…
1d in reply to DanaHoule               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DanaHoule good point
1d in reply to DanaHoule               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @AlanIAbramowitz: Memo to CNN--A 3 pt. lead is not a "statistical tie." cnn.com/2014/10/24/pol…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
New CNN poll (first gold standard of race): Nunn leads Perdue 47-44; in hypothetical runoff, Nunn up 51-47: cnn.com/2014/10/24/pol…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@stevandrews credible poll?
1d in reply to stevandrews               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@romremsyl yeah that's unfortuntae
1d in reply to romremsyl               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DrSquishy right
1d in reply to DrSquishy               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
To clarify, CNN poll has Michelle Nunn leading David Perdue in a runoff, 51-47 (with appropriate caveats): cnn.com/2014/10/24/pol…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@stevandrews Nunn is leading in the runoff 51-47
1d in reply to stevandrews               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@RightonCarl yeah
1d in reply to RightonCarl               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@DrSquishy Q is whether she can get up to 50
1d in reply to DrSquishy               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ron_fournier everybody's a media critic ;)
1d in reply to ron_fournier               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
New CNN poll puts Michelle Nunn up 47-44 over David Perdue, leading runoff 51-47: cnn.com/2014/10/24/pol…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour! washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… with @HotlineScott @jbview @sahilkapur @NateSilver538 @brianbeutler @paulwaldman1 @JamesPindell
1d               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Via @NateSilver538, Michelle Nunn's chances of winning, including in a runoff, "slightly worse than coin flip" fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-de…
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Kelly Steele @steelekelly
More enthusiasm issues in #KySen. Glenn Beck tells Bevin voters it's not bad to "lose somebody like Mitch McConnell" bit.ly/1tmznot
1d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@stevandrews @Nate_Cohn yeah that one came out of the blue
1d in reply to stevandrews               
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