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ImageNameLocationTwitter sinceLinks
Greg Sargent2009-02-10
@ThePlumLineGS2,031 days
A blog about politics, politics, and politics
FollowersFollowingTweetsListsFavorites
71,8642,37863,4393,190189
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour! washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… with @dylanlscott @MysteryPollster @aedwardslevy @brianbeutler @RameshPonnuru @tmillsNC @McCormackJohn
6h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NoahCRothman yup
6h in reply to NoahCRothman               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
We award this statement a Geppetto Checkmark and 4 Pinnochios @JesseFFerguson Some things are just true and not true. There are facts.
7h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @JoshSchwerin: Unclear why NRCC is lying about #CA21 buy
7h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
I'm skeptical, but a new WRBL poll shows @MichelleNunnGA up ever so slightly on @Perduesenate: wrbl.com/story/26427980…
7h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@baseballcrank Worth noting: Wang called every 2012 senate race right using polls-only approach. Not sure it applies this year though
9h in reply to baseballcrank               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@baseballcrank Also see Huffpollster's new model. They focus more on polls, just as Wang does, so it tilts slightly towards Ds
9h in reply to baseballcrank               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ppppolls Please poll Medicaid expansion in MI, LA, and NC. GOP candidates waffling on it.
9h in reply to ppppolls               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@RameshPonnuru floats it: "Another 1998 disaster for Rs?" Also gets important history of 2006 elex right: bloombergview.com/articles/2014-…
9h               
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Jamison Foser @jamisonfoser
Great @ThePlumLineGS rundown of the centrality of Joni Ernst's minimum wage views in Iowa Senate race: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
9h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@jamisonfoser but but but CHICKENS
9h in reply to jamisonfoser               
ThinkProgress @thinkprogress
For this Michigan Senate candidate, climate change is a job creation issue thkpr.gs/1ugKJcD pic.twitter.com/HZocp8IYYd
9h Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @LOLGOP: WHY ISN'T OBAMA SCARING US INTO WAR IN IRAQ? IT'S A SOLID MIDTERM STRATEGY! SEE: 2002! #tcot
9h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@matunos def
9h in reply to matunos               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Note: Joni Ernst, who opposes nat'l min wage, wants seat of wage hike's leading Senate champion (Harkin) washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
9h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@matunos she says $7.25 per hour is appropriate for Iowa
10h in reply to matunos               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
That min wage hike Joni Ernst calls "ridiculous" would disproportionately benefit Iowa women, report finds: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
10h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Joni Ernst says nat'l minimum wage is "ridiculous," but new report finds hike would help 300K Iowans: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
10h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Joni Ernst says federal minimum wage is "ridiculous," but new report finds it would help 300,000 Iowans: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
10h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@jbplainblog @DannyVinik @DrewLinzer Yeah, true. Got link to Linzer's?
11h in reply to jbplainblog               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@jbplainblog @DannyVinik Yep. Also why Sam Wang's model is better to Dems.
11h in reply to jbplainblog               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
On Medicaid expansion, Scott Walker goes quiet; Tom Cotton, Joni Ernst, Scott Brown, TerriLand all waffling and evading.
11h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
lower than most RT @DannyVinik: New HuffPo forecast gives McConnell a 56% chance at winning elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-ou…
11h               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Another Senate forecast! @MysteryPollster and @aedwardslevy give very slight edge to Dems holding on: elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-ou…
11h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Pew: Only 31% of Americans think the U.S. does "too little" to solve global problems: people-press.org/2014/08/28/as-…
11h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Ocare is such a disaster that in #wigov, only the D is talking about it, while Scott Walker is "mostly silent": weeklystandard.com/print/articles…
11h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Via @McCormackJohn, Scott Walker "pretty much silent on Ocare" while Dem opponent hits him on Medicaid exp: weeklystandard.com/print/articles…
12h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@brianbeutler on why Ds *shouldn't* worry about action on deportations: newrepublic.com/article/119287… What Ds are thinking: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
12h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@paulwaldman1: "Problem Rs have with blacks voting isn't that they're black; it's that they're Democrats" washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
13h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Nice piece by @paulwaldman1 on how voter ID push could hurt GOP among very groups it must improve among: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
13h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Thanks! RT @DavidLeopold @ThePlumLineGS's breakdown of politics of exec action on deportations is essential reading wapo.st/XYc0FO
13h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Holy crap. That year went fast. RT @kaysteiger: oh hey @drgrist is back from his twibatical.
13h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Ds believe Rs no longer see Ocare as decisive; GOP strategy more based on Obama's overall unpopularity: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
15h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Maggyw519 Oh, come on, read the piece.
15h in reply to Maggyw519               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
If Obama wants to help Ds hold the Senate, he might start by getting his approval up a few points: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
15h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Associated Press nails it: Ocare "no longer the drag on Dems that it appeared earlier this year": washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
15h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ron_fournier I look forward to your stand alone column on Obamacare's impact on the long term fiscal outlook
16h in reply to ron_fournier               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @brianbeutler: "It's rare for a Majority Leader to propose a measure he knows has zero chance of passing." NOPE! ow.ly/AYN5a
16h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@RalstonReports Republican candidates are struggling with their Obamacare stance, too: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
16h in reply to RalstonReports               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Paging @BrendanNyhan -- here's what top Senate Ds are really thinking about politics of deportations: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
16h               
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Michael McDonald @ElectProject
Calling @ThePlumLineGS not a peep about Obamacare at two #APSA2014 panels on 2014 election
3d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Why Senate Ds are so worried about exec action/deportations: Don't think it will boost base in red states: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
+1 RT @jbouie: Great column from @speechboy71 on pundit summer of discontent with Obama on foreign policy. nydn.us/1tUfaoG
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@politicoalex documents it: That GOP wave we keep hearing about just isn't materializing: politico.com/story/2014/09/…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Nice @NYTimeskrugman column unmasking the phony game played by centrist deficit scold pundits: nytimes.com/2014/09/01/opi…
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
ICYMI: Inside the red-state demographic calculations that worry Senate Ds so much about Obama/deportations: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
17h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
.@NRO: "Rs shying away from making Ocare central issue...b/c not sure what to put in its place" nationalreview.com/article/386825… cc: pundits
18h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
In many Senate races, Ds now running hard on Medicare. Why? It worked in Senate races in 2012: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
18h               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour Roundup, via @paulwaldman1: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Good question from @paulwaldman1: At what point can we say Koch brothers are a liability for GOP candidates? washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Good @mattklewis piece acknowledging basic dilemma GOP faces on immigration, which isn't going away: dailycaller.com/2014/08/27/the…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @EJDionne: Workers save a CEO who celebrates labor's role in creating wealth. My #LaborDay column:

wapo.st/1tmN87w
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NPRinskeep thanks!
1d in reply to NPRinskeep               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Poll: 55% of Kentuckians -- and 56% of indys -- disagree with @Team_Mitch on minimum wage: kentucky.com/2014/08/31/340…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NPRinskeep They just don't see any evidence it would energize the voters they need in those states (except CO)
1d in reply to NPRinskeep               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NPRinskeep If helpful, here is the hard core demographic calculation top Ds are making on deportations: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
1d in reply to NPRinskeep               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Obama may delay action on deportations: politico.com/story/2014/08/… Here's why Senate Ds want him to hold off: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Rand Paul: "Americans don't want rash leader": nytimes.com/2014/08/31/us/… Ted Cruz: "bomb ISIS back to Stone Age" washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-pol…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Ted Cruz says there's no plan to shut down govt: washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-pol… Here's how it could happen anyway: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Ron Fournier @ron_fournier
Sorry, @SenTedCruz, once you shut down the government, you can't whine about the WH warning you might do it again washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-pol…
2d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Rand Paul: "Americans don't want a rash leader that takes them into war recklessly." nytimes.com/2014/08/31/us/…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
The latest in @MichaelRStrain's ongoing effort to get Rs to consider govt spending to address unemployment: washingtonpost.com/posteverything…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Nate_Cohn It's more than that: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
3d in reply to Nate_Cohn               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
The real reason Senate Ds fear Obama action on deportations: Demographic realities of 2014 electorate: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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David Leopold @DavidLeopold
ICYMI: @ThePlumLineGS lays out the politics of deportations & why Obama may not act until after the midterm election washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
3d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@sahilkapur Hah, thanks. It's all @paulwaldman1
4d in reply to sahilkapur               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Happy Hour! washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… with @PeterBeinart @NPRinskeep @sahilkapur @brianbeutler @BenjySarlin @onceuponA @sarahkliff @stevebenen
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Robert Costa @costareports
Christie slammed O's "strategy" remark: "It's scary to hear the president say that." Christie then declined to say what his strategy wld be.
4d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Josh Kraushaar @HotlineJosh
Ds "throw literally every issue they can at deep structural problems they’re facing" & hope majority squeaks through washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
4d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@jennifereduffy Sorry, no Christmas vacation for campaign analysts this year.
4d in reply to jennifereduffy               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Shot: rawstory.com/rs/2011/08/13/…

Chaser: twitter.com/kenvogel/statu…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Time for a new line? rawstory.com/rs/2011/08/13/… MT @kenvogel Perry applause line: "We need to make DC as inconsequential in our lives as we can"
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@newman_chris Chris, did you miss where I said Prez should make decision based on what is right in policy and moral terms?
4d in reply to newman_chris               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@timgrieve @davidfrum Hah!
4d in reply to timgrieve               
memeorandum @memeorandum
Morning Plum: Why top Dems are worried about politics of deportations (@ThePlumLineGS) washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin… memeorandum.com/140829/p25#a14…
4d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Topic of coming Sunday shows MT @davidfrum Scandal deeper than previously thought: Oval Office rug tan too! pic.twitter.com/cl4115z8NB
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EJ Dionne @EJDionne
Why #Obama may defer action on deportations post-election: @ThePlumLineGS & @latimes on the tricky politics involved
wapo.st/XYc0FO
4d Retweeted by ThePlumLineGS               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@aedwardslevy Yeah it really would. BTW I love the new HuffPollster buttons. Really easy to navigate!
4d in reply to aedwardslevy               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@aedwardslevy Heh. I wish we all said it! :)
4d in reply to aedwardslevy               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ForecasterEnten ahhh, I gotcha. Yeah, that doesn't really make a lot of sense. Stick to polling averages, say I!
4d in reply to ForecasterEnten               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@ForecasterEnten I thought folks were mostly pointing to it to raise Qs about last poll showing her up 2
4d in reply to ForecasterEnten               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @jamisonfoser: “A tan suit is insufficiently serious” — Insufficiently Serious People
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@Max_Fisher @blakehounshell I'm just making fun of an earlier tweet from Blake, in which I was right and he was wrong :)
4d in reply to Max_Fisher               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NPRinskeep in some ways it's a repudiation of the 47% comment, at least superfically...
4d in reply to NPRinskeep               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
I worry about @blakehounshell sometimes... twitter.com/blakehounshell… :)
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@NPRinskeep That is very interesting. Thanks.
4d in reply to NPRinskeep               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Key to D thinking: Ryan Medicare plan has not yet been fought over in AR or LA. New information for voters washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Dems won multiple 2012 Senate races by winning argument over Medicare. Now trying to do same again: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Overlooked, but key: Dems running hard on Medicare in multiple Sen races. Why? It worked in 2012: washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-lin…
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
Problem with Paul Ryan "makers & takers" comment isn't that it was "callous": npr.org/2014/08/29/343… It's the worldview underlying it.
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@GlennThrush Hang in there, buddy. Rachel and I are pulling for you.
4d in reply to GlennThrush               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@BDayspring @ajjaffe Those of us who don't have private data have no choice but to rely on public polling averages, alas
4d in reply to BDayspring               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@BDayspring @ajjaffe I have no doubt the race is tightening. All these races will be close in this environment
4d in reply to BDayspring               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@rprez2012 @BDayspring When in doubt, I stick to the polling average (which only has Shaheen up a little under 6) elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2014-…
4d in reply to rprez2012               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@rprez2012 50% is poorly? That's an interesting argument.
4d in reply to rprez2012               
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@cjcase Hah, yeah, I'm not surprised you think that. I don't see you getting more than 7, and 5 is a real possibility.
4d in reply to cjcase               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
RT @ajjaffe: New #NHSen poll of LVs, conducted by Dem PPP for pro-Shaheen LCV, gives her 50%, up 6 on Brown: bit.ly/1zROeH4
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Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@cjcase very possible. I will boldly predict that Rs win anywhere from 3 to 9 Senate seats.
4d in reply to cjcase               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@cjcase gotcha. I gotta think in this environment all of these races are going to be close
4d in reply to cjcase               
Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS
@cjcase but not as close as the poll putting Shaheen only up 2 that got a huge amount of media coverage
4d in reply to cjcase               
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